Win an ALP dual, Redline or the New Escort Passport.

[BestRadarDetectors]

oddpedestrian only has a 18.9% chance of winning in each drawing (assuming entries aren't removed if they win something). He still has a > 50% chance of winning nothing in all 3 drawings in that case.

Will winners be disqualified from winning any other rounds if they win something in at least one round? Or is it possible, in theory, for someone with >= 3 entries to win all 3 prizes?

Yes, If you win the ALP, You are no longer in the running for the 2nd or 3rd items.

[lugnuts]

edit: BRD posted while I was typing.

[oddpedestrian]

This is crazy I remember when it was just a handful of posts a week, how times have changed. Really proud of this place.

[awj223]

Yes, If you win the ALP, You are no longer in the running for the 2nd or 3rd items.

So oddpedestrian's best odds of winning (but unluckiest scenario of winning nothing) occur if lugnuts wins the ALP, curmudgeon wins the Redline, and FJR1300 wins the Passport.

The chance he DOES NOT win the ALP would be (198-34)/198=82.82%
The chance he DOES NOT win the Redline is then (198-24-34)/(198-24)=80.46%
The chance he DOES NOT win the Passport is (198-24-22-34)/(198-24-22)=77.63%

The chance that oddpedestrian wins nothing at all is then the product of all 3 of these: 51.74%

oddpedestrian's chances of winning nothing are therefore NO LESS THAN than 51.74%.

If dragons, GotWake, and coolest35 are the winners instead, oddpedestrian's chances of winning nothing increase to 56.64%. So there is stil a 51.74-56.64% chance that oddpedestrian walks away from this contest with nothing at all (depending on who wins the first two prizes).
@oddpedestrian: you've still got to like those odds. You have at > 43% chance of getting something out of this if it were held today.

[busta]

Good to see the Aussies well represented

[oddpedestrian]

So oddpedestrian's best odds of winning (but unluckiest scenario of winning nothing) occur if lugnuts wins the ALP, curmudgeon wins the Redline, and FJR1300 wins the Passport.

The chance he DOES NOT win the ALP would be (198-34)/198=82.82%
The chance he DOES NOT win the Redline is then (198-24-34)/(198-24)=80.46%
The chance he DOES NOT win the Passport is (198-24-22-34)/(198-24-22)=77.63%

The chance that oddpedestrian wins nothing at all is then the product of all 3 of these: 51.74%

oddpedestrian's chances of winning nothing are therefore NO LESS THAN than 51.74%.

If dragons, GotWake, and coolest35 are the winners instead, oddpedestrian's chances of winning nothing increase to 56.64%. So there is stil a 51.74-56.64% chance that oddpedestrian walks away from this contest with nothing at all (depending on who wins the first two prizes).
@oddpedestrian: you've still got to like those odds. You have at > 43% chance of getting something out of this if it were held today.

I didn't think of it that way super thanks bro

[Tman]

A new word learned today.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jinx

Don't jinx him!

[NYSpeederPVM]

A new word learned today.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jinx

You're welcome son.

[lugnuts]

So oddpedestrian's best odds of winning (but unluckiest scenario of winning nothing) occur if lugnuts wins the ALP, curmudgeon wins the Redline, and FJR1300 wins the Passport.

The chance he DOES NOT win the ALP would be (198-34)/198=82.82%
The chance he DOES NOT win the Redline is then (198-24-34)/(198-24)=80.46%
The chance he DOES NOT win the Passport is (198-24-22-34)/(198-24-22)=77.63%

The chance that oddpedestrian wins nothing at all is then the product of all 3 of these: 51.74%

oddpedestrian's chances of winning nothing are therefore NO LESS THAN than 51.74%.

If dragons, GotWake, and coolest35 are the winners instead, oddpedestrian's chances of winning nothing increase to 56.64%. So there is stil a 51.74-56.64% chance that oddpedestrian walks away from this contest with nothing at all (depending on who wins the first two prizes).
@oddpedestrian: you've still got to like those odds. You have at > 43% chance of getting something out of this if it were held today.

we should all just give up then lol.

[Tman]

You're welcome son.

Oh thanks dad

Qui porte la poisse\ jeter un sort à quelqu'un

Now you need to pronunce it